Ida Expected to Be Among Costliest Hurricanes to Impact U.S. Mainland: Aon Catastrophe Report

Source: Aon | Published on September 13, 2021

New Brunswick, NJ USA - September 2, 2021: City of New Brunswick flooded after Hurricane Ida. Submerged cars on the flooded roadways and highways of the City of New Brunswick, NJ after flooding from hurricane Ida.

Aon plc, a leading global professional services firm providing a broad range of risk, retirement and health solutions, today launched the latest edition of its monthly Global Catastrophe Recap report, which evaluates the impact of natural disaster events worldwide during August 2021.

The report states that Hurricane Ida made landfall in the United States as a 150 mph (240 kph) Category 4 storm near Port Fourchon, Louisiana on August 29, killing at least 77 people. Ida caused extensive wind, storm surge and inland flood damage across the Southeast before its remnants later resulted in exceptional flash flood damage and convective storm impacts in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on September 1.

Total direct economic losses were anticipated to reach well into the tens of billions (USD), and Ida will likely become one of the costliest U.S. mainland hurricanes on record both on a nominal and inflation-adjusted basis. While a sizeable portion of the economic damage due to coastal and inland flooding was not expected to be insured, public and private insurance entities were still likely to have exposures into the double-digit billions (USD).

Meanwhile, a major and deadly earthquake struck the Tiburon Peninsula of Haiti on August 14, killing at least 2,207 people and injuring 12,268 others. The magnitude-7.2 tremor struck on August 14 with an epicenter 13 kilometers (8 miles) south-southeast of Petit Trou de Nippes. The tremor left nearly 140,000 structures damaged or destroyed in the Sud, Nippes, and Grand’Anse Departments alone. Government officials unofficially estimated $3 billion in economic damage, with most losses uninsured.

Steve Bowen, managing director and head of Catastrophe Insight on the Impact Forecasting team at Aon, said: “As larger-scale disasters occur with more intensity and subsequently result in greater impacts, this has put a spotlight on areas where gaps lie in humanitarian and insurance protection. This is true regardless of whether a country is identified as developed or emerging. Hurricane Ida’s catastrophic impacts in the United States highlighted how much work is yet to be done to better insure around inland and coastal flooding. An even greater gap is found in Haiti following the major earthquake that once again has the country facing a challenging recovery. How governmental bodies work with private sector groups to improve hazard protection and aim to better and more smartly rebuild will be key to lowering future natural peril risk.”

Further natural hazard events that occurred worldwide in August include:

The worst drought in 91 years continued to affect Brazil, notably in the Paraná River region. Substantial impacts to the agricultural sector became increasingly apparent, with the Department of Agriculture citing up to BRL11 billion ($2.1 billion) in damage to the corn crop alone due to drought and recent bouts of frost. The overall direct economic impact was anticipated to be even higher.

Major wildfires burned in Greece from late July into early August, causing significant property and environmental damage. The largest fires burned in northwestern Evia, north of Athens in Attika and in Peloponnese. Two people were killed, and hundreds of homes were damaged or destroyed.

Severe flash flooding and landslides, triggered by heavy rainfall, caused significant damage in Bartin, Kastamonu and Sinop provinces of Turkey‘s Black Sea Region on August 11, claiming 82 lives. The worst-affected districts were Ulus in Bartin; Azdavay, İnebolu, Bozkurt, Küre and Pınarbaşı in Kastamonu; and Ayancık in Sinop. More than 1,300 residents were evacuated to safety. Total economic losses are expected to exceed $100 million.

Dozens of wildfires erupted in northern Algeria amid a scorching heatwave in early August, as temperatures rose above 46°C (115°F) and extremely dry conditions aided in their spread. Among the worst hit was Kabylia region. The event claimed 90 lives, including 57 civilians and 33 soldiers.

Continued seasonal monsoon rainfall led to nearly 50 additional fatalities across China in August. The worst floods were noted in southern Shaanxi, Sichuan Basin and the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. Total economic losses to property, infrastructure and agriculture in August tallied CNY17 billion ($1.65 billion). The annual seasonal flood total rose to at least $27 billion.

To view the full Impact Forecasting August 2021 Global Catastrophe Recap report, please follow the link:

http://thoughtleadership.aon.com/Documents/20210009_analytics-if-august-global-recap.pdf

Along with the report, users can access current and historical natural catastrophe data and event analysis on Impact Forecasting’s Catastrophe Insight website, which is updated bi-monthly as new data become available:

http://catastropheinsight.aon.com