Consumers aren’t likely to see their insurance rates go down this year, according to a Morgan Stanley report. The last few years have been rocky ones for the insurance industry. Social inflation rose higher than traditional economic inflation.
Social inflation describes the phenomenon when insurance claims costs are increasing more quickly than the standard rate of inflation. For insurers, dealing with this inflation is becoming increasingly more difficult as claims and payouts for those claims rise.
Case clearance rates have risen in general, but certain states, such as California, face a mountain of cases and ensuing award amounts that make social inflation particularly difficult, according to the Morgan Stanley report.
It’s these large award amounts that are causing the greatest issues. The national average jury award amount in 2023 was about $57,000, according to preliminary data in the Morgan Stanley report. While that is a slight decrease from 2022, it’s still extremely high and only the second time since 2012 that awards averaged more than $50,000.
Unlike jury-settled cases, civil insurance case settlements rose last year. Amounts went up by 3% to a little over $37,000, on average. Most of these cases moved to settlements so that insurance companies could avoid going to trial.
Multiple sectors of the insurance industry are feeling the pinch of increased claims and legal cases. To deal with industry losses, higher auto and home insurance premiums get passed on to consumers.
Car insurance costs are expected to increase in 2024 by 12.6% throughout the U.S., a ValuePenguin report shows.
Nevada will see the highest increase, with rates expected to go up by 28%, followed by Washington state with an 18% increase. Every state is expected to see a slight increase of at least 5%. The only states that won’t see this level of rate increases are Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho and North Carolina.
Homeowners insurance rates aren’t doing any better than auto insurance rates, with many states reporting high premium spikes, and even more on the horizon.
In North Carolina, the North Carolina Rate Bureau filed a rate filing at the beginning of January asking to increase homeowners insurance rates by 42.2% across the state. The rate, if passed, would go into effect on August 1.
California is expected to see a rate increase this year as well, with its largest insurer – State Farm – likely to raise its rates by 20%, a San Francisco Chronicle article reported.
“These rate changes are driven by increased costs and risk, and are necessary for State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Company and State Farm General Insurance Company to deliver on the promises the companies make,” a State Farm statement responding to the increase reported.